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Liberals Take the Lead
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by: Peter on Nov 15, 2006

A new Decima poll shows the Liberals now slightly ahead. I give the Strategic Council 2 days before they make up a poll of their own showing the Cons ahead by 10 points.

http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20061115/decima_poll_061115/20061115?hub=Canada&s_name=

reply by: Rob on Nov 15, 2006

I wonder what method Decima uses, they seem to consistently to have the Liberals a few points higher than the 3-4 other major polling agencies.

Regardless of the agency, it's an interesting phenomenon that leaderless parties always poll several points higher than normal. It'll be interesting to see what happens after the new leader is elected.

reply by: Peter on Nov 16, 2006

Yup, interesting to say the least. The SES poll which came out today (a few days after Decima) shows the Conservatives 2 points ahead of the Liberals, even though they have the Liberals 8 points ahead in Ontario and 13 in Quebec.

reply by: pkelly on Dec 13, 2006

We'll see how long this blip lasts...once the honeymoon wears off and everyone realises that newly selected liberal leader Dion is part of the same old liberal crowd that was a say-anything-but-do-nothing government 13 years, I think the liberals surge will scatter back to REAL progressive parties such as the NDP or Greens.

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